54-media-plan-global

Media Plan (Global)

A plan without hard numbers cannot tell you whether you are winning. Every figure in the plan must trace back to a revenue target. Run 10-reverse-kpi-global for max CPA and required budget before allocating anything.

Information gathering

Read .agents/product-marketing-context-global.md plus any output from 51-audience-research-global and 10-reverse-kpi-global. If information is missing, ask up to 4 questions:

1. Which offer, and what is the revenue target? Target revenue for the period, AOV, and gross margin percentage.
2. What is the budget? A hard cap, or a number derived backwards from the revenue target?
3. Which channels and markets? Meta / Google Search / TikTok / YouTube / Pinterest / LinkedIn — and which countries. Primary objective?
4. What is the timeline? Number of weeks, plus any launch date or seasonal moment that cannot move.

Principles

1. Work backwards from revenue, never forwards from "the budget we have". Revenue -> orders -> leads -> max CPA -> budget. If available budget is below required budget, lower the target or lower the CPA. Do not pretend.
2. Market tier is a planning input, not a detail. Per references/benchmarks-global.md, Tier 1 (US, Canada, Australia, Western EU) costs 6-7x Tier 2 (SEA, LATAM). A campaign profitable at 3x ROAS in a Tier 2 market may need 5-7x in the US for the same unit economics. Plan and report per market.
3. Season changes the math. Q1 is the cheapest window (January median CPM $15.74, about 21% below average). November peaks at $25.22, roughly 27% above average. A Q4 plan built on Q1 costs is already wrong.
4. Spread across the funnel. Running only bottom-funnel from day one produces high CPA because no trust exists yet.
5. No blank KPIs. Every channel gets its own CPA and efficiency target.
6. Test first, scale second. Weeks 1-2 are tuition. Do not judge ROAS in week one.
7. Review weekly and adjust. The plan is a hypothesis; live data decides.

Workflow

1. Reverse-calculate the KPIs (run 10-reverse-kpi-global)

Target revenue / AOV        = Orders needed
Orders / close rate         = Leads needed
Max CPA                     = (Revenue x gross margin %) / Leads needed
Break-even ROAS             = 1 / gross margin %
Target ROAS                 = Break-even ROAS x 1.5
Required ad budget          = Leads needed x target CPA

These must exist before step 2: leads needed, max CPA, target CPA, required budget, target ROAS. Build three scenarios (pessimistic / base / optimistic) and plan against base.

Sanity-check the result against references/benchmarks-global.md: global Meta medians are CPA $18-38 and ROAS 1.93-2.79. Healthy ROAS rule of thumb is 3x at roughly 30% gross margin, 5x+ for commodity margins, and 1.5x can work for high-margin digital products. If your required CPA sits far below the bottom quartile for your industry and market tier, the plan is not achievable as written.

2. Regional cost baseline

Set the expected cost floor per market before allocating budget:

Full table in references/benchmarks-global.md. Never blend Tier 1 and Tier 2 into one reported CPA — the average describes no real campaign.

3. Seasonality adjustment

Planning implications: front-load acquisition into Q1 if cash flow allows; reserve at least 30% more budget for the same volume in Q4, or shift brand spend into Q3. In US election years, political spend displaces commercial inventory and adds roughly 20-40% to CPM in the last 30 days before the vote.

4. Channel allocation

Starting archetypes, to be adjusted by real data:

• DTC ecommerce: Meta 45% + Google (Search plus Shopping) 30% + TikTok 25%
• Lead gen B2C services: Meta 50% + Google Search 30% + TikTok 20%
• B2B SaaS: Google Search 45% + LinkedIn 30% + Meta 15% + YouTube 10%
• Creator, course, coaching: Meta 50% + YouTube 25% + TikTok 25%
• Home, decor, fashion: Meta 45% + Pinterest 25% + Google 30%

Rule: a channel with proven performance takes 60-70%; a new channel gets a 15-20% test allocation. Do not spread evenly across channels you have never run.

LinkedIn changes the math for B2B. At $30-100+ CPM versus Meta's $13-20, LinkedIn costs roughly 2-5x more per impression. It is often still correct for B2B because the targeting precision and deal size justify it — but B2B/SaaS CPL benchmarks are $80-300, so validate against LTV in 10-reverse-kpi-global before committing more than a test budget.

5. Funnel allocation

6. Campaign-type budget split (operating standard)

The funnel view and the campaign-type view must reconcile to the same total. Use this table as the source for cutting campaigns in 52-account-structure-global.

7. Ramp-up timeline

Express ramp in percentage of the period budget and in multiples of the learning-phase floor, not in fixed amounts — the same plan must work in a $15 CPM market and a $3 CPM market.

Every ad set must clear the learning floor derived in 52-account-structure-global: (50 events x target CPA) / 7. Ramp only when the previous step held CPA.

8. KPI targets per channel and decision rules

Weekly decision rules, expressed relative to the target CPA so they hold in any currency:

9. Contingency plan

Output structure

File name: media-plan-[product]-[YYYYMMDD].md

# Media Plan — [Product/Campaign]
Timeline: [dates] · Total budget: [amount] · Markets: [list] · Objective: [Lead/Conversion]

## 1. Campaign overview        [offer, timeline, budget, headline KPIs]
## 2. Reverse-calculated KPIs  [three scenarios from 10-reverse-kpi-global]
## 3. Market cost baseline     [tier, CPM/CPC expectation per market]
## 4. Seasonality adjustment   [period, expected CPM shift, budget effect]
## 5. Channel allocation       [% + amount + objective + KPI]
## 6. Funnel allocation        [TOFU/MOFU/BOFU]
## 7. Campaign-type split      [Testing 30 / Scale 50 / Retarget 15 / Lookalike 5]
## 8. Ramp-up timeline         [week, % of budget, focus, checkpoint]
## 9. KPI targets and decision rules
## 10. Contingency plan

Related skills

• 10-reverse-kpi-global: mandatory first step — max CPA, budget, target ROAS.
• 61-budget-planning-global: places this media budget inside the wider marketing budget.
• 51-audience-research-global: audiences for each funnel stage.
• 53-tracking-setup-global: verify tracking green before any spend.
• 52-account-structure-global: turn this plan into campaign structure.
• 57-next-ads-plan-global: next period's plan is built from this period's results.

Quality checklist

• KPIs reverse-calculated from revenue, including max CPA, break-even ROAS, and three scenarios
• Market tier stated with the expected CPM/CPC baseline per market
• Seasonality applied to the planned period, with the budget consequence written down
• Budget totals 100% across all three views: channel, funnel, campaign type
• No blank KPIs — every channel has its own target
• Campaign-type split follows 30/50/15/5 or documents the reason for deviating
• Ramp-up expressed in percentages and learning-floor multiples, not fixed amounts
• Decision rules expressed relative to target CPA
• Contingency plan covers at least four situations, including a seasonal cost spike
• All benchmark figures traced to references/benchmarks-global.md; repo file wins on any conflict